2026-27 · Regular Season · Final
Utah Jazz at New Orleans Pelicans
Wednesday, November 4, 2026 · tip-off 8:00 PM ET
UTA 1–6@NOP 3–4 records going into the game NBA.com recap ↗
Forecast and result
| Team | Projected | Final | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTA Utah Jazz | 114 | 113 | −1 |
| NOP New Orleans Pelicans (home) | 122 | 120 | −2 |
Forecast: New Orleans Pelicans to win, 73% win probability, projected margin 8.
Inside the Forecast
How the inputs are builtNo saved inputs are stored with this game's forecast.
The result against the forecast
2026-27 surprise gamesSurprise is measured against this model's forecast, not against what other observers expected. Outcome surprise is −ln(winner's pregame probability): 0.69 for a coin flip, 2.3 for a 10% winner.
Team box score
What happened in the game. These numbers are not used by the forecast, and they are not offered as the reason it missed.
| Team stat | UTA | NOP |
|---|---|---|
| Final score | 113 | 120 |
| Field goals | 41–94 · 43.6% | 38–89 · 42.7% |
| Three-pointers | 11–47 · 23.4% | 5–20 · 25.0% |
| Free throws | 20–30 · 66.7% | 39–43 · 90.7% |
| Rebounds | 49 | 48 |
| Assists | 24 | 23 |
| Turnovers | 20 | 17 |
| Steals | 8 | 9 |
| Blocks | 7 | 6 |
How the model does with these teams over time: Utah Jazz · New Orleans Pelicans
Where the forecast differed from the result
| Measure | Forecast | Actual | Actual − forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home margin (NOP) | +8 | +7 | −1 |
| Total points | 236 | 233 | −3 |
| UTA points | 114 | 113 | −1 |
| NOP points | 122 | 120 | −2 |
Injury report
Official NBA injury report, 2026-11-04 17:30 ET (the latest stored report before the forecast was saved). Two-way and G League assignments are omitted. The model counts players listed Out or Doubtful; Questionable players are treated as available.
Utah Jazz
- Out Jaren Jackson Jr. · Right MCLTear
- Out Jusuf Nurkić
- Questionable Mo Bamba · Right Ankle Sprain
New Orleans Pelicans
- Out Yves Missi
- Questionable Trey Murphy III
Recent form before this game
Previous meetings
| Date | Matchup | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 23 2026-27 | NOP at UTA | NOP 119 – 120 UTA |
| Apr 7 2025-26 | UTA at NOP | UTA 137 – 156 NOP |
| Feb 28 2025-26 | NOP at UTA | NOP 115 – 105 UTA |
| Feb 26 2025-26 | NOP at UTA | NOP 129 – 118 UTA |
| Mar 2 2024-25 | NOP at UTA | NOP 128 – 121 UTA |