2026-27 · Regular Season · Final
Chicago Bulls at New York Knicks
Wednesday, November 4, 2026 · tip-off 7:30 PM ET
CHI 1–6@NYK 3–4 records going into the game NBA.com recap ↗
Forecast and result
| Team | Projected | Final | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
| CHI Chicago Bulls | 108 | 105 | −3 |
| NYK New York Knicks (home) | 118 | 135 | +17 |
Forecast: New York Knicks to win, 77% win probability, projected margin 10.
Inside the Forecast
How the inputs are builtNo saved inputs are stored with this game's forecast.
The result against the forecast
2026-27 surprise gamesSurprise is measured against this model's forecast, not against what other observers expected. Outcome surprise is −ln(winner's pregame probability): 0.69 for a coin flip, 2.3 for a 10% winner.
Team box score
What happened in the game. These numbers are not used by the forecast, and they are not offered as the reason it missed.
| Team stat | CHI | NYK |
|---|---|---|
| Final score | 105 | 135 |
| Field goals | 37–96 · 38.5% | 44–87 · 50.6% |
| Three-pointers | 10–44 · 22.7% | 17–40 · 42.5% |
| Free throws | 21–28 · 75.0% | 30–37 · 81.1% |
| Rebounds | 34 | 57 |
| Assists | 25 | 27 |
| Turnovers | 11 | 13 |
| Steals | 6 | 7 |
| Blocks | 4 | 6 |
How the model does with these teams over time: Chicago Bulls · New York Knicks
Where the forecast differed from the result
| Measure | Forecast | Actual | Actual − forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home margin (NYK) | +10 | +30 | +20 |
| Total points | 226 | 240 | +14 |
| CHI points | 108 | 105 | −3 |
| NYK points | 118 | 135 | +17 |
Injury report
Official NBA injury report, 2026-11-04 17:30 ET (the latest stored report before the forecast was saved). Two-way and G League assignments are omitted. The model counts players listed Out or Doubtful; Questionable players are treated as available.
Chicago Bulls
- Out Nic Claxton · Left Hamstring Strain
New York Knicks
- Out Josh Hart · Right Ankle Soreness
Recent form before this game
Previous meetings
| Date | Matchup | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 28 2026-27 | NYK at CHI | NYK 133 – 127 CHI |
| Apr 3 2025-26 | CHI at NYK | CHI 96 – 136 NYK |
| Feb 22 2025-26 | NYK at CHI | NYK 105 – 99 CHI |
| Nov 2 2025-26 | CHI at NYK | CHI 116 – 128 NYK |
| Oct 31 2025-26 | NYK at CHI | NYK 125 – 135 CHI |